Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 6.269453e-02 0.078063 0.095424 0.116343 0.140708 0.168037 0.200846
2025-12-21 4.024507e-02 0.059781 0.084840 0.118615 0.162161 0.215596 0.285225
2025-12-28 2.643609e-02 0.046999 0.076864 0.121487 0.184332 0.267418 0.382979
2026-01-04 1.869703e-02 0.039564 0.073583 0.129234 0.213629 0.332100 0.505453
2026-01-11 1.241682e-02 0.031691 0.067089 0.130355 0.233175 0.385550 0.618684
2026-01-18 7.945054e-03 0.024836 0.059920 0.128299 0.246892 0.431522 0.725413
2026-01-25 4.379835e-03 0.017612 0.049370 0.117513 0.244164 0.451622 0.795288
2026-02-01 2.632594e-03 0.013589 0.043674 0.113930 0.252370 0.488805 0.893232
2026-02-08 1.333404e-03 0.009531 0.036036 0.104226 0.247522 0.503438 0.956163
2026-02-15 6.621030e-04 0.006830 0.030431 0.097131 0.245956 0.522739 1.027251
2026-02-22 3.739633e-04 0.005454 0.027920 0.096467 0.256800 0.564423 1.137987
2026-03-01 2.087235e-04 0.004433 0.025986 0.096671 0.269293 0.609886 1.257784
2026-03-08 9.983435e-05 0.003454 0.023660 0.095431 0.279019 0.652079 1.376702
2026-03-15 5.095656e-05 0.002879 0.022607 0.097570 0.296760 0.711268 1.529920
2026-03-22 2.454453e-05 0.002422 0.021764 0.100142 0.315915 0.774829 1.694984
2026-03-29 1.406595e-05 0.002233 0.022183 0.106868 0.345918 0.862146 1.908125
2026-04-05 4.990032e-06 0.001819 0.020972 0.107869 0.361960 0.922411 2.074522
2026-04-12 1.034839e-06 0.001387 0.019138 0.106117 0.370749 0.968336 2.216466
2026-04-19 1.890738e-08 0.000856 0.015648 0.096850 0.358331 0.968603 2.271622
2026-04-26 4.846508e-16 0.000605 0.013934 0.093780 0.361970 1.003143 2.394057
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000345 0.011298 0.085467 0.349298 1.000626 2.443482
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000199 0.009397 0.079405 0.341915 1.008992 2.514530
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000140 0.008666 0.078840 0.351171 1.056169 2.666246